Matthias Schmidt, automotive analyst, in his last report already to understand that the electric car licensing figures in Europe are rather declining in 2020. This no longer stands the 700.000 E-car settings as a target mark in the room, but the 144.000 units on 556.000 reduces brand. Furthermore, driven by effects of coronavirus, the development of the European e-auto market entirely.
Assuming that the CO2 goals persist and the Western European car market is recovering quickly, probably inspired by incentives like a scrapping premium – similar to the financial crisis – the e-auto volume is rising parallel to the overall market. For this reason, the volumes in 2020 are probably due to the declining overall market under plan. Then shoot up in 2021 but strong up. Currently, in 2021, one can still expire from a 7 percent share in total sales in Europe. Up to one million e-cars are possible in 2021, insofar as the market is recovered and competitive through subsidies and other incentives.
Already in December we were able to hold that plug-in hybrids will play an important role in achieving these goals. Due to the total market exhaust, the brand is at risk of a million PHEV in 2020, however. The prognosis of PSA that the total amount of PHEV approvals in the 30 European markets will exceed the electric car approvals by 2025: with predicted 1.93 million (PHEV) or. 1.57 million units (electric car), is still in the room.
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This is read again in the glass ball. Whether the CO2 goals are interested in the car buyers. Why should something be changed in 2020 at the buying behavior of the car buyers? The charging structure has not become better, the e-cars are still too expensive and too impractical and the e-car has the same problems as a normal combustion: one does not find any parking, in addition no charging station and you’re just in the traffic jam. So what has improved compared to 2019, 2018 or 2017?
If the numbers of the newly authorized E-cars rises strongly, then only through factory facilities, dealer admissions demonstration cars etc.
Yes, now waiting for the first time, until they rise again ..