Automobile Analyst: 2021 will be the year of the plug-in hybrid

Automobile Analyst: 2021 will be the year of the plug-in hybrid-plug-in

According to automobile analyst Matthias Schmidt from Berlin, pure electric cars will exceed the one million registration mark in Europe in 2021. Nevertheless, plug-in hybrids in particular will experience an upswing in Europe in 2021. This in a year in which the overall passenger car market seems to be growing again after a 35-year low last year. Compared to the previous year, pure e-car sales in Europe increased by 19.7%, for February not so great growth is expected.

E-car sales are expected to ramp up in March, as the VW Group, among others, as the largest player, is expected to delay the MEB Stromer. This is attributed to software problems with the ID.3, as well as the ID.4, which VW must first get a grip on. At least one seems to have made some progress here. The VW Group is increasing the number of strokes and wants up to 1 from summer 2021.Produce 400 e-vehicles per day at the Zwickau plant. Looking at it in detail, Schmidt assumes for the current year 2021 that purely electric cars will claim an 8.5 percent share of the entire car market. Based on total sales of 12.3 million vehicles, 1.045.500 electric vehicles can be sold in 2021.

The combined plug-in hybrid forecast for 2021 sees a 15.5% penetration of a 12.3 million. market or 1.91 million. units before. This is reflected in the presentation of various premium part-time electric vehicles from the German market. In addition, efforts by German manufacturers to reward purely electric driving are noticeable. Keyword geofencing. This is also related to the fact that the European Commission has been collecting data on real CO2 emissions and energy consumption with the help of on-board consumption meters since January. The aim is to fill the gap between the emissions tested in the laboratory and the real emissions.

Schmidt assumes that, despite this critical view of real emissions and high subsidy rates, there will continue to be an upward trend. In the further course of the year, thanks to the advantageous tax advantages for PHEVs, hard penalties and an expanded product range for part-time electric vehicles, sales will grow rather than fall. For pure e-cars, Schmidt holds out the prospect of another Tesla final sprint by the end of the first quarter. In addition, the VW start-up should help pure electric cars to increase sales.

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8 thoughts on “Automobile Analyst: 2021 will be the year of the plug-in hybrid”

  1. A big step towards BEV, a sad one towards sustainable environmental protection.
    The PHEVs are sending the wrong signal, these vehicles are generally of no use to climate pollution, as they generate twice as much waste and are mostly driven as combustion engines. All you have to do is watch these cars in the city in winter, and every PHEV smokes.
    It’s a waste of money, there’s more and better.

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  2. I fear that too, there are far too few e-cars and the promotion of hybrids will not be stopped before the BT election. I will still not buy a PHEV but if only fully electric I have no desire for the massive drop in value that will affect the PHEV in a few years

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  3. If the forecast is correct, it could also be the last year in which PHEVs will be bought in large numbers. A last gasp, so to speak. The EU must respond to the increased exhaust emissions as soon as the relevant data and reliable information are available.
    For Daimler and BMW in particular, that would be a hard blow in the office, because the development costs for the PHEV would then no longer be recoverable. The jack of all trades that the manufacturers came up with would then be another nail in the coffin of these manufacturers.

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  4. Why are PHEVs being bought en masse? Usually because as a company car cheaper than a pure combustion engine.

    After 2 to 3 years on the used car market it gets bloody. For various reasons, hardly any private customer wants such a car.

    It won’t be fun for the lessor.

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  5. Even if I personally don’t like the conclusion, unfortunately the author is probably right. PEHV are massively promoted and encounter little resistance from buyers.

    The advertising slogans of the “clean PHEV” are all too readily believed. So you don’t have to give up your favorite habits and you can still feel environmentally friendly. Without getting involved in the image of a green world improver at his burning buddies.

    Not all this would be on it. But of course, the fears are too feared with unsafe buyers. The range, where can you shop, how expensive is what if the battery is empty, how long holds such a battery, BEVs are not clean, the electricity is not enough, because of the EV the power supply will collapse, child labor, small farmers in Chile lose your home because of the groundwater consumption of lithium recovery, etcual.

    It is always easy to find such arguments. Whereby, of course, the ecological and economic damage causes the oil industry worldwide. Or how many wars are guided. Or how the petrodollars do the IST terror ever possible.

    So you drive PHEV, from both a little and nothing right. So you don’t have to commit yourself, give up old habits you love and get involved with something new. If the electric doesn’t work, I still have my beloved combustion engine.

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  6. From a CO2 emissions point of view, PHEV only make sense if you have an electric range of at least 100 km according to WLTP. Vehicles above a net list price of 40.000 euros according to the BAFA list should be completely excluded from the funding. The heavy SUVs PHEV are no longer so interesting to buy. The politicians probably don’t dare to do that yet.
    Greetings Matthias Geiger

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  7. As I said, the PHEVs have to run at least 100 km purely electrically. Unfortunately, Germany has prevailed in the EU and only specified a range of 60 km WLTP for 2022. I myself drive a PHEV with over 50% solar power from my own roof.
    I have already ordered the successor model, the A3 e-tron. However, I agree with private individuals that only company car leasing makes sense here.

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  8. After 8 years of selling the Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV cars, I am very happy about this news, as the Eclipse Cross PHEV is in the starting blocks.
    I have over 150 happy customers with the PHEV. The commuter routes are driven with the electric drive and the longer trips with electricity and petrol.
    As a seller, it is my responsibility to clarify the use of the car in advance and then to advise on the right drive. So I can say that my customers are very satisfied and appreciate the significantly reduced visits to the gas station.
    It is problematic if the state uses high premiums regardless of the use. This then leads to the fact that the sale is only based on the premium and no longer on the sense and purpose of the drive technology.
    For me, responsibility and honesty towards the customer is number 1. Job. In this way, responsibility towards the state (premium payer) and the environment is taken into account.
    side note; The premium paid by the stat is first claimed from me and all other taxpayers. In Switzerland we don’t really know about bonuses anyway.

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