From the current electric car-based electro car index, Japan stands out clearly as a newcomer, while in Germany in terms of electromobility only little.
On this year’s IAA in Frankfurt you could first review “green cars”, ie vehicles with alternative drive, in a separate exhibition area. In addition to foreign car makers, the German manufacturers proudly showed their concepts and prototypes of the upcoming electric and hybrid car generation, which are still in the development and testing phase.
To name only one example: BMW presented his future I models BMW I3 and I8 at the IAA, but of which BMW I3 will not come to the market until the end of 2013 and the BMW I8 before 2014. On an electric car from VW, which will be available within the next two years, one hopes in vain, as it is still worn and one is still time to introduce a really mature technology. Alone the Daimler subsidiary Smart and Opel have recognized the signs of time early. The Opel Ampera is available from the end of November, the Smart Fortwo Electric Drive will be from spring 2012.
Electromobility: France, USA and Japan at eye level
On the other side of the world globe, more precisely in the US and Japan, the electric car machinery runs in full swing. In the USA In addition to the luxury limousine Fisker Karma or the more everyday Chevrolet volts, there are some other hybrid and electric cars that are in the starting blocks. In Japan the electrification of the car started years ago and she takes her run with great steps. The Toyota Prius and the hybrid technology put in it spreads everywhere in the world. Over three million times Toyota has already sold his hybrid drive. With the Nissan Leaf and Mitsubishi I-MiV, two Japanese electric car models are already sold to tens of thousands of worldwide.
The electric car index (EVI) in October 2011
Electric car index in october 2011 – ABB.: Wiwo, Source: McKinsey
This status quo shown above in terms of electromobility also goes from the current Electric car index (Electric Vehicle Index, short: EVI). This creates the well-known consulting company McKinsey Quarterly for the Wirtschaftwoche – last happened in July 2011. The electric car index indicates how many percent of a nation has achieved electromobility at the respective creation date, and what course the experts forecast by 2020. The world’s unique ranking is measured and the supply of electric cars.
In the current survey of McKinsey, Japan passes from third place past France to the top and is almost equal to the USA in the overall standings. Japan even takes a lush product range of Toyota, Nissan and Mitsubishi in the category offer the leadership role. France comes in the overall ranking still for a proper third place, which is easily comprehensible because of its more and more the market-enabled electric car models. Germany and China are far away on the ranks 4 and 5. It is noteworthy that Japan succeeded in rapid rise, although the sales of electric cars under the earthquake disaster of March felt noticeably sufficient.
This positive development of electromobility in Japan seems to continue to stop. For the share of electro cars on all Japanese car production will have in the coming five years is now also considered higher: market analysts corrected the number of 3.6 percent in July to 8.6 percent. “The enthusiasm of Japanese customers for electric cars, the early introduction of E models and not least the strategy of the hybrid pioneer Toyota, says Christian Malorny, McKinsey Director and author of the EVI study.
Electromobility subsidies / share electric cars on production, ABB.: Wiwo, Source: McKinsey
For Germany, on the other hand, the analysts assume that electric cars will only make a modest 0.9 percent of total production until 2016. Compared with other nations, Germany is found only in the eighth place.
These forecasts make the belief in the vision of the German Federal Government to bring a million electric cars to the German roads by 2020, significantly shrink. For a positive development in electromobility can be achieved with only small subsidies, Japan is the best example. It remains to be hoped that the German carmakers do not lose the connection in the long run and soon with competitive electrical or. Hybrid cars can score. (Each)
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