It is the intended reciprocal side of the energy transition: The growing boom at E-cars will be more affected in the next few years at the conventional petrol stations: in the middle of the coming decade, the demand for gasoline and diesel should have greatly reduced, say specialists At the same time, in return, demand for lithium-ion batteries should continue to increase steadily.
The consumption of conventional fuels for cars in Germany can decrease by around 56 percent by 2035 – under the condition that only e-cars can be released until this time. This is evident from an account of the Freiburg Eco Institute on behalf of the Federal Ministry of Environment, from which the “mirror” quotes. The development is compared with the year 2020.
Due to the changeover, much more fossil fuels saved, as consumed to cover the additional electricity requirement of E cars, it is called in the study. With far-reaching consequences for the refineries. In the medium term, so goes out of the investigation, such a scenario would also result “a significant reduction in the necessary oil processing systems”.
The Eco Institute has studied how the consumption of resources in fossil fuels and metals can develop until 2035 in combustors and electric vehicles. The need for primary metals for lithium-ion batteries – especially at the key raw materials lithium, cobalt, nickel and copper – could therefore reach a highlight of the year 2035, it says in the study. However, a significantly increasing use of recycled batteries contributes to cover. The consumption of platinum, palladium or rhodium, however, take off strongly, the experts. These materials are currently used for catalysts in combustion exhaust systems.
The author of the study also recommend the Federal Government to set up ambitious recycling targets for battery raw materials – similar to the EU Commission already proposes. In addition, the Freiburg Eco Institute advises to build a circular economy for so-called rare earths.
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Soon there are much more electric vehicles for professional special trusts.
Like the Tesla vehicles from Grunheide, Mercedes EQE, BMW i4, new platforms of the VW Group.
These vehicles drive above average, so the fuel consumption will decrease faster than the inventory component is growing.
One man’s meat is another man’s suffering. So it was always and so it will always stay. Let’s just think back to the buddy of coal mining.
Hopefully, the Federal Government this time in advance thought about the social outbreaks, when, for example, a refinery closes with several well-paid and well-trained workers and at the same time the only employer was.
Finally, this consumption decline requires less worker: charging columns at home or in public space do not need on-site workers, only a service (almost equal to today’s petrol stations) and a back office.
Since I am very relaxed …
Who has not developed further just a problem, all others will be in other ways. Well, a few Darwin winners will give there
Beautiful times whether the forecasts will apply. I would expect the fuel rate bursting stronger.
With increasing CO2 pricing on the one hand and improved battery technology on the other hand, economic benefits of BEV’s are increasingly becoming increasingly. Especially in the commercial area with high mileage, this is certainly consistently used to switch.
Whether only in 2035 the consumption of consumption takes place at the above primary metals, I dare to doubt. At the moment, lithium-based cells are indispensable, but for the future I see Z.B. Sodium on the street. There is still a significant cost reduction potential. When copper remains on the previous price path, aluminum is increasingly used as a potential substitute.
Very clever study, I would not have come on.
I only think of it one thing:
No really? Oooh!
Trim
If fewer people smoke, the tobacco industry deserves less money.
If more people feed vegetarian, we sell less meat.
If more people eat less, we need less toilet paper.
Do not do anything is not an option, the technique continues and so that will always be, the question is always, how do I put the change over.
With us at the Bundessstrabe 12, a new gas station (JET) is just built for gasoline and diesel. So it still seems to exist. In addition, the investment for a conventional gas station is considered much higher than for charging stations.